Süper Lig · Apr 05, 2026 17:00
Kasımpaşa
PWR 35
Kocaelispor FK
PWR 35
Kasımpaşa
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Kocaelispor FK
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (27%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (7%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kasımpaşa
LWDLD
STABLE
Kocaelispor FK
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Süper Lig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Kasımpaşavs
0.25
Kocaelispor FKGoal Probability
Kasımpaşa
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Kocaelispor…
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Kasımpaşa-6
Gap#8
Kocaelispor…
WR 15% 24 pts
WR 25% 33 pts
Kasımpaşa
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Kasımpa… v Besiktas | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Kasımpa… v Eyüpspor | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Kasımpa… v Antalya… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Kasımpa… v Rizespor | 0-3 |
| Feb 23 | Kasımpa… v Fenerba… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Kasımpa… v Fatih K… | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | Kasımpa… v Gazişeh… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Kasımpa… v Samsuns… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Kasımpa… v Trabzon… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Kasımpa… v Antalya… | 0-0 |
Kocaelispor FK
4.0%
| Mar 28 | Kocaeli… v Muğlasp… | 2-0 |
| Mar 24 | Kocaeli… v Adana D… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Kocaeli… v Samsuns… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Kocaeli… v Mardin … | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Kocaeli… v Antalya… | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Kocaeli… v Eyüpspor | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Kocaeli… v Trabzon… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Kocaeli… v Fethiye… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Kocaeli… v Halide … | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Kocaeli… v Gencler… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Kocaelispor FK | 0-0 | Kasımpaşa |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Kocaelispor FK | 3-2 | Kasımpaşa |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Kasımpaşa | 5-3 | Kocaelispor FK |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kocaelispor FK struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.