Liga de Ascenso · Apr 05, 2026 20:00

AD Carmelita
PWR 35

AD Carmelita
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
LimĂłn Black Star
PWR 35
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AD Carmelita
DDLWL
STABLE
Limón Black St…
DLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga de Ascenso
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
AD Carmelitavs
0.95
Limón Black St…Goal Probability
AD Carmelita
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Limón Black…
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
AD Carmelita+1
Gap#9
Limón Black…
WR 29% 11 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
AD Carmelita
8.0%
| Mar 31 | AD Carm… v Aserri … | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | AD Carm… v Futbol … | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | AD Carm… v CS Urug… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AD Carm… v Santa A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | AD Carm… v Futbol … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Carm… v Aserri … | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | AD Carm… v Deporti… | 2-4 |
Limón Black St…
14.0%
| Apr 13 | Limón B… v Futbol … | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Limón B… v Aserri … | 3-2 |
| Apr 04 | Limón B… v CS Urug… | 3-2 |
| Mar 30 | Limón B… v Turrial… | 1-3 |
| Mar 23 | Limón B… v Guadalu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Limón B… v Cariari… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Limón B… v Escorpi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Limón B… v Futbol … | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Limón B… v Aserri … | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Limón B… v CS Urug… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
LimĂłn Black Star in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.