Liga Pro · Apr 05, 2026 20:00
Libertad Asunción
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Libertad Asunción Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS No
No 19%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Libertad Asunc… DDLWL
STABLE
Mushuc Runa WLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Libertad Asunc…
vs
0.22
Mushuc Runa
Goal Probability
Libertad As…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Mushuc Runa
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 78% 22% OVER
1.5 44% 56% -
2.5 19% 81% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
Libertad As…
+6
Gap
#11
Mushuc Runa
WR 67% 9 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Libertad Asunc… 8.0%
Mar 21 Liberta… v Delfín … 0-0
Mar 19 Liberta… v Barcelo… 0-0
Mar 13 Liberta… v Tecnico… 2-1
Mar 08 Liberta… v LDU Qui… 2-1
Mar 05 Liberta… v Deporti… 3-0
Feb 28 Liberta… v Leones … 1-1
Feb 24 Liberta… v Manta 1-0
Dec 21 Liberta… v Orense … 3-2
Dec 14 Liberta… v LDU Qui… 2-1
Dec 06 Liberta… v Indepen… 1-1
Mushuc Runa 8.0%
Mar 22 Mushuc … v Emelec 2-0
Mar 19 Mushuc … v Orense … 3-2
Mar 15 Mushuc … v Macará 0-0
Mar 07 Mushuc … v Indepen… 3-1
Mar 01 Mushuc … v Univers… 0-0
Feb 21 Mushuc … v Aucas 1-1
Nov 29 Mushuc … v Cuniburo 0-0
Nov 22 Mushuc … v Tecnico… 1-0
Nov 08 Mushuc … v Manta 3-0
Nov 01 Mushuc … v Tecnico… 0-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Aug 09, 2025 Mushuc Runa 1-2 Libertad Asun…
Apr 19, 2025 Libertad Asun… 2-1 Mushuc Runa
Sep 26, 2024 Mushuc Runa 2-1 Libertad Asun…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.