Major League Soccer · Apr 04, 2026 23:30
New York City FC
PWR 35
St. Louis City SC
PWR 35
New York City FC
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
St. Louis City SC
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: New York City FC to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
New York City …
WWWDL
UP
St. Louis City…
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Major League Soccer
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
New York City …vs
0.20
St. Louis City…Goal Probability
New York Ci…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
St. Louis C…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
New York Ci…+14
Gap#15
St. Louis C…
WR 100% 10 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
New York City …
14.0%
| Mar 14 | New Yor… v Colorad… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | New Yor… v Orlando… | 5-0 |
| Mar 01 | New Yor… v Philade… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | New Yor… v Los Ang… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | New Yor… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | New Yor… v Los Ang… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | New Yor… v Austin | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | New Yor… v Inter M… | 5-1 |
| Nov 24 | New Yor… v Philade… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | New Yor… v Charlot… | 1-3 |
St. Louis City…
6.0%
| Mar 22 | St. Lou… v New Eng… | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | St. Lou… v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | St. Lou… v Seattle… | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | St. Lou… v San Die… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | St. Lou… v Charlot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | St. Lou… v Los Ang… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | St. Lou… v Austin | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | St. Lou… v Tampa B… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | St. Lou… v Real Sa… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | St. Lou… v Austin | 1-3 |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
91%
Market
50%
Key Factors
New York City FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
St. Louis City SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.