A-League · Apr 05, 2026 05:00
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Melbourne Victory to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
76%
76%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne Vict…
WWDDW
STABLE
Wellington Pho…
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): A-League
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Melbourne Vict…vs
0.82
Wellington Pho…Goal Probability
Melbourne V…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Wellington …
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)5-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 5.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 6.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Melbourne V…+5
Gap#8
Wellington …
WR 55% 35 pts
WR 30% 27 pts
Melbourne Vict…
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Melbour… v Central… | 4-1 |
| Mar 15 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Melbour… v Sydney | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Melbour… v Welling… | 2-3 |
| Feb 01 | Melbour… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
Wellington Pho…
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Welling… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Welling… v Perth G… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Welling… v Sydney | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Welling… v Auckland | 0-5 |
| Feb 13 | Welling… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Welling… v Melbour… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Welling… v Melbour… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Welling… v Newcast… | 4-1 |
| Jan 18 | Welling… v Sydney | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 06, 2026 | Wellington Ph… | 2-3 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Melbourne Vic… | 5-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wellington Ph… | 2-3 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 18, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.