J2 League · Apr 05, 2026 05:00
Kashima
PWR 36
Kitakyushu
PWR 35
Kashima
PWR 36
1-1
predicted
Kitakyushu
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
37Attack0
41Defense100
Goals/G
1.10.0
Conc/G
1.70.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kashima
DWLWL
STABLE
Kitakyushu
WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): J2 League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
Kashimavs
0.21
KitakyushuGoal Probability
Kashima
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Kitakyushu
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#28
Kashima+12
Gap#40
Kitakyushu
WR 30% 21 pts
WR 19% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 34 | 21 |
| Kitakyushu | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 27 | 11 |
Kashima
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Kashima v Gainare… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Kashima v JEF Uni… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Kashima v Fujieda… | 0-3 |
| Mar 18 | Kashima v Machida… | 0-3 |
| Mar 15 | Kashima v FC Gifu | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Kashima v Kawasak… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Kashima v Tokyo V… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Urawa | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Sagan T… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Júbilo … | 0-0 |
Kitakyushu
6.0%
| Mar 29 | Kitakyu… v FC Ryuk… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Kitakyu… v Renofa … | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Kitakyu… v Sagan T… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Kitakyu… v Tegevaj… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kitakyu… v Biwako … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Kitakyu… v Roasso … | 4-1 |
| Feb 15 | Kitakyu… v Oita Tr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Kitakyu… v Gainare… | 1-3 |
| Nov 02 | Kitakyu… v Vanraur… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Kitakyu… v FC Ryuk… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Kitakyushu | 1-1 | Kashima |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Kitakyushu | 1-2 | Kashima |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kitakyushu struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.