Thai League 1 · Apr 05, 2026 11:00
Muangthong United
PWR 35
Chiangrai United
PWR 35
Muangthong United
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Chiangrai United
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Muangthong Uni…
LWLDL
STABLE
Chiangrai Unit…
LDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway draws 48% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 74% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Muangthong Uni…vs
1.26
Chiangrai Unit…Goal Probability
Muangthong …
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Chiangrai U…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Muangthong …-3
Gap#11
Chiangrai U…
WR 13% 15 pts
WR 24% 25 pts
Muangthong Uni…
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Muangth… v Uthai T… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Muangth… v Prachuap | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Muangth… v Port FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Muangth… v Lamphun… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 3-2 |
| Jan 25 | Muangth… v Rayong … | 1-3 |
| Jan 21 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 3-0 |
Chiangrai Unit…
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Chiangr… v Port FC | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | Chiangr… v Nakhon … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Chiangr… v Ratchab… | 0-4 |
| Feb 25 | Chiangr… v Prachuap | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Chiangr… v Chonbur… | 1-3 |
| Feb 15 | Chiangr… v Rayong … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Chiangr… v Bangkok… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Chiangr… v Ayuttha… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Chiangr… v Buriram… | 8-1 |
| Jan 10 | Chiangr… v Prachuap | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chiangrai Uni… | 0-2 | Muangthong Un… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Muangthong Un… | 2-1 | Chiangrai Uni… |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Chiangrai Uni… | 3-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| May 26, 2024 | Chiangrai Uni… | 2-3 | Muangthong Un… |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Muangthong Un… | 0-1 | Chiangrai Uni… |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Muangthong Un… | 1-2 | Chiangrai Uni… |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Chiangrai Uni… | 1-0 | Muangthong Un… |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Chiangrai Uni… | 3-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Muangthong Un… | 1-1 | Chiangrai Uni… |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Chiangrai Uni… | 0-1 | Muangthong Un… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Muangthong United struggling (3L in last 5)
Chiangrai United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.