Ligue 1 · Apr 04, 2026 11:00
Étoile du Sahel
PWR 35
ES Tunis
PWR 35
Étoile du Sahel
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
ES Tunis
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ES Tunis Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Étoile du Sahel
DWWWD
STABLE
ES Tunis
LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Étoile du Sahelvs
0.26
ES TunisGoal Probability
Étoile du S…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
ES Tunis
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Étoile du S…-5
Gap#1
ES Tunis
WR 50% 33 pts
WR 46% 53 pts
Étoile du Sahel
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Étoile … v Stade T… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Étoile … v AS Soli… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Étoile … v JS Kair… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Étoile … v US Mona… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Étoile … v AS Gabes | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Étoile … v US Ben … | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Étoile … v Club Af… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Étoile … v Jeuness… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Étoile … v CS Sfax… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Étoile … v Club At… | 1-1 |
ES Tunis
14.0%
| Mar 21 | ES Tunis v Al Ahly | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | ES Tunis v Al Ahly | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | ES Tunis v AS Marsa | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | ES Tunis v Olympiq… | 0-3 |
| Feb 25 | ES Tunis v ES Metl… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | ES Tunis v Stade T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | ES Tunis v AS Soli… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | ES Tunis v Petro d… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | ES Tunis v Stade M… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | ES Tunis v Simba | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 05, 2025 | ES Tunis | 1-0 | Étoile du Sah… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Étoile du Sahel in strong form (3W in last 5)
ES Tunis in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.