Ligue 1 · Apr 04, 2026 11:00
US Ben Guerdane
PWR 35
ES Metlaoui
PWR 35
US Ben Guerdane
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
ES Metlaoui
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (28%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
US Ben Guerdane
LDLLL
STABLE
ES Metlaoui
WDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
US Ben Guerdanevs
0.20
ES MetlaouiGoal Probability
US Ben Guer…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
ES Metlaoui
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
US Ben Guer…-4
Gap#8
ES Metlaoui
WR 40% 24 pts
WR 27% 28 pts
US Ben Guerdane
2.0%
| Mar 22 | US Ben … v M'saken | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | US Ben … v Club Af… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | US Ben … v Jeuness… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | US Ben … v CS Sfax… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | US Ben … v Club At… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | US Ben … v ES Zarz… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | US Ben … v Étoile … | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | US Ben … v AS Marsa | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | US Ben … v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | US Ben … v ES Tunis | 4-0 |
ES Metlaoui
8.0%
| Mar 22 | ES Metl… v AS Gabes | 5-2 |
| Mar 07 | ES Metl… v Olympiq… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | ES Metl… v Club Af… | 5-0 |
| Feb 25 | ES Metl… v ES Tunis | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | ES Metl… v Jeuness… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | ES Metl… v Korba | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | ES Metl… v Stade T… | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | ES Metl… v CS Sfax… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | ES Metl… v AS Soli… | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | ES Metl… v Club At… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 03, 2025 | ES Metlaoui | 1-1 | US Ben Guerda… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
US Ben Guerdane struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.