Back Stats
Premier League · Apr 05, 2026 14:00

Alay
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Asia Talas
PWR 35
57% 23% 20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alay Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (21%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5 62%
62%
BTTS No
No 20%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alay DDWWW
STABLE
Asia Talas WDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Alay
vs
0.26
Asia Talas
Goal Probability
Alay
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Asia Talas
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 71% 29% OVER
3.5 50% 50% -
4.5 31% 69% UNDER
5.5 17% 83% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
League Position
#8
Alay
+2
Gap
#10
Asia Talas
WR 0% 5 pts WR 0% 4 pts
Alay 16.0%
Mar 15 Alay v Ozgon 2-2
Mar 13 Alay v Kara-Ba… 1-1
Mar 08 Alay v Neftchi 0-2
Mar 07 Alay v OshMU A… 3-0
Mar 03 Alay v Talant 2-1
Mar 01 Alay v Ilbirs 1-1
Nov 09 Alay v Neftchi 4-0
Nov 08 Alay v Muras U… 1-0
Nov 05 Alay v OshMU A… 2-2
Nov 04 Alay v Neftchi 1-1
Asia Talas 7.5%
Mar 18 Asia Ta… v Dordoi … 3-1
Mar 14 Asia Ta… v OshMU A… 1-1
Mar 07 Asia Ta… v Talant 1-4
Jan 27 Asia Ta… v Lokomot… 1-0
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alay in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.