Virsliga · Apr 05, 2026 13:00
Tukums
PWR 35
Grobiņa
PWR 35
Tukums
PWR 35
VS
Grobiņa
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tukums Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tukums
LDLDD
STABLE
Grobiņa
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Tukumsvs
0.61
GrobiņaGoal Probability
Tukums
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Grobiņa
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Tukums-2
Gap#6
Grobiņa
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
Tukums
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Tukums v Super N… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Tukums v Ogre Un… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Tukums v FS Jelg… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Tukums v Panevėž… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Tukums v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Tukums v Auda | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Tukums v Kooteep… | 2-3 |
| Oct 24 | Tukums v Riga FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 23 | Tukums v Kooteep… | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Tukums v Rīgas FS | 2-4 |
Grobiņa
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Grobiņa v FS Jelg… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Grobiņa v Auda | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Grobiņa v BFC Dau… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Grobiņa v Banga | 5-3 |
| Jan 17 | Grobiņa v Banga | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Grobiņa v JDFS Al… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Grobiņa v JDFS Al… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Grobiņa v Auda | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Grobiņa v Riga FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Grobiņa v Rīgas FS | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Grobiņa | 1-0 | Tukums |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Tukums | 2-1 | Grobiņa |
| May 21, 2025 | Grobiņa | 2-0 | Tukums |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Tukums | 2-0 | Grobiņa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Grobiņa in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.