Eredivisie · Apr 05, 2026 14:45

NAC Breda
PWR 35

Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 35

NAC Breda
PWR 35
2-2
predicted

Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sparta Rotterdam Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-1 (5%)2-2 (4%)3-0 (4%)2-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 79%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
NAC Breda
LLDLW
DOWN
Sparta Rotterd…
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.77
NAC Bredavs
1.68
Sparta Rotterd…Goal Probability
NAC Breda
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Sparta Rott…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
NAC Breda-8
Gap#9
Sparta Rott…
WR 29% 23 pts
WR 43% 38 pts
NAC Breda
6.0%
| Mar 21 | NAC Bre… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | NAC Bre… v GO Ahea… | 6-0 |
| Mar 08 | NAC Bre… v Feyenoo… | 3-3 |
| Feb 27 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | NAC Bre… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | NAC Bre… v Heracles | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | NAC Bre… v Excelsi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 30 | NAC Bre… v FC Twen… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | NAC Bre… v PSV Ein… | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | NAC Bre… v NEC Nij… | 3-4 |
Sparta Rotterd…
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Sparta … v FC Vole… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Sparta … v Ajax | 4-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sparta … v PEC Zwo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sparta … v Heerenv… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Sparta … v AZ Alkm… | 3-1 |
| Feb 17 | Sparta … v NEC Nij… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sparta … v Fortuna… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Sparta … v Groning… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Sparta … v Utrecht | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Sparta … v Feyenoo… | 3-4 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Sparta Rotter… | 1-0 | NAC Breda |
| Mar 07, 2025 | NAC Breda | 1-1 | Sparta Rotter… |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Sparta Rotter… | 0-2 | NAC Breda |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Sparta Rotter… | 0-2 | NAC Breda |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Sparta Rotter… | 2-1 | NAC Breda |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Sparta Rotter… | 1-2 | NAC Breda |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Sparta Rotter… | 1-1 | NAC Breda |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
NAC Breda struggling (3L in last 5)
Sparta Rotterdam struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.