Segunda División · Apr 06, 2026 18:30
Sporting Gijón
PWR 35
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Sporting Gijón
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Sporting Gijón to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
41Attack41
60Defense59
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.31.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting Gijón
DLWLD
STABLE
Real Sociedad
LLLWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Segunda División
Expected Goals (xG)
4.29
Sporting Gijónvs
0.70
Real SociedadGoal Probability
Sporting Gi…
0
1%
1
6%
2
13%
3
18%
4
19%
Real Socied…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Sporting Gi…+14
Gap#23
Real Socied…
WR 35% 132 pts
WR 33% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | 98 | 34 | 30 | 34 | 126 | 117 | 132 |
| Real Sociedad | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 59 | 52 |
Sporting Gijón
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Sportin… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Sportin… v Las Pal… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Sportin… v Castell… | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v FC Ando… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Sportin… v Levante | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sportin… v Vallado… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Albacete | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sportin… v Huesca | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sportin… v Eibar | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sportin… v Mirandes | 3-0 |
Real Sociedad
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Real So… v Almería | 5-1 |
| Mar 22 | Real So… v Granada | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Real So… v Villarr… | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | Real So… v Cordoba | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Real So… v Osasuna | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Real So… v Atlétic… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Real So… v Castell… | 4-2 |
| Mar 04 | Real So… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 06, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 0-1 | Sporting Gijón |
| Mar 07, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 2-1 | Sporting Gijón |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Sporting Gijón | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Sporting Gijón | 0-2 | Real Sociedad |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Real Sociedad struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.