Ligue 1 · Apr 04, 2026 15:00
Strasbourg
PWR 39
Nice
PWR 29
Strasbourg
PWR 39
3-1
predicted
Nice
PWR 29
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Strasbourg Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
87%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
50Attack41
63Defense43
Goals/G
1.71.4
Conc/G
1.31.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Strasbourg
LDDWD
STABLE
Nice
LWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Strasbourgvs
0.27
NiceGoal Probability
Strasbourg
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Nice
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Strasbourg+7
Gap#15
Nice
WR 54% 40 pts
WR 23% 27 pts
Strasbourg
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Strasbo… v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Strasbo… v HNK Rij… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Strasbo… v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Strasbo… v HNK Rij… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Strasbo… v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Strasbo… v Reims | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Strasbo… v Lens | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Strasbo… v Olympiq… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Strasbo… v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Strasbo… v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
Nice
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Nice v Paris S… | 0-4 |
| Mar 14 | Nice v Angers | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Nice v Rennes … | 0-4 |
| Mar 04 | Nice v Lorient | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Nice v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nice v Lorient | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Nice v Olympiq… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Nice v AS Mona… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Nice v Montpel… | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Nice v Stade B… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Nice | 1-1 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Strasbourg | 2-2 | Nice |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Nice | 2-1 | Strasbourg |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Nice | 2-1 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Strasbourg | 1-3 | Nice |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Strasbourg | 1-3 | Nice |
| Sep 03, 2023 | Nice | 2-0 | Strasbourg |
| May 13, 2023 | Strasbourg | 2-0 | Nice |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Nice | 1-1 | Strasbourg |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Strasbourg | 0-0 | Nice |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nice struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.