Ligue 1 · Apr 05, 2026 15:15
Lorient
PWR 33
Paris FC
PWR 31
Lorient
PWR 33
3-1
predicted
Paris FC
PWR 31
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lorient Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
41Attack39
54Defense49
Goals/G
1.41.3
Conc/G
1.61.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lorient
LWDDD
STABLE
Paris FC
WDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 81% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Lorientvs
0.20
Paris FCGoal Probability
Lorient
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Paris FC
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Lorient+3
Gap#13
Paris FC
WR 54% 37 pts
WR 21% 31 pts
Lorient
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Lorient v Toulouse | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lorient v Lens | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lorient v Lille | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Lorient v Nice | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Lorient v Auxerre | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lorient v Nice | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Lorient v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lorient v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Lorient v Paris FC | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Lorient v Nantes | 2-1 |
Paris FC
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Paris FC v LE Havr… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Paris FC v Strasbo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Paris FC v Olympiq… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Paris FC v Nice | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Paris FC v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Paris FC v Lens | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Paris FC v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Paris FC v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Paris FC v Angers | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 04, 2026 | Lorient | 2-0 | Paris FC |
| Oct 03, 2025 | Paris FC | 2-0 | Lorient |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Paris FC | 3-2 | Lorient |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Lorient | 2-0 | Paris FC |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Lorient | 2-0 | Paris FC |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Lorient | 1-4 | Paris FC |
| Feb 09, 2021 | Lorient | 2-1 | Paris FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.