Ligue 1 · Apr 05, 2026 15:15
LE Havre AC
PWR 30
Auxerre
PWR 27
LE Havre AC
PWR 30
2-1
predicted
Auxerre
PWR 27
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
LE Havre AC Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
24Attack21
63Defense57
Goals/G
0.80.7
Conc/G
1.31.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
LE Havre AC
LDLLL
STABLE
Auxerre
WLDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 43% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 74% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
LE Havre ACvs
0.41
AuxerreGoal Probability
LE Havre AC
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Auxerre
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
LE Havre AC+2
Gap#16
Auxerre
WR 36% 27 pts
WR 8% 22 pts
LE Havre AC
2.0%
| Mar 22 | LE Havr… v Paris FC | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | LE Havr… v Olympiq… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | LE Havr… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | LE Havr… v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | LE Havr… v Nantes | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | LE Havr… v Toulouse | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | LE Havr… v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | LE Havr… v Lens | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | LE Havr… v AS Mona… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | LE Havr… v Rennes … | 1-1 |
Auxerre
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Auxerre v Stade B… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Auxerre v Olympiq… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Auxerre v Strasbo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Auxerre v Lorient | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Auxerre v Rennes … | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Auxerre v Metz | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Auxerre v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Auxerre v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Auxerre v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Auxerre v Lens | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Auxerre | 0-1 | LE Havre AC |
| May 04, 2025 | Auxerre | 1-2 | LE Havre AC |
| Sep 01, 2024 | LE Havre AC | 3-1 | Auxerre |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
LE Havre AC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.