Ligue 1 · Apr 04, 2026 19:05
Lille
PWR 37
Lens
PWR 44
Lille
PWR 37
1-1
predicted
Lens
PWR 44
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
51Attack51
55Defense76
Goals/G
1.71.7
Conc/G
1.50.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lille
WWLDW
STABLE
Lens
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Lillevs
0.87
LensGoal Probability
Lille
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Lens
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Lille-3
Gap#2
Lens
WR 54% 47 pts
WR 54% 59 pts
Lille
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Lille v Olympiq… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Lille v Rennes … | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Lille v Aston V… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lille v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lille v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
Lens
16.0%
| Mar 20 | Lens v Angers | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lens v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Lens v Annecy | 2-4 |
| Mar 08 | Lens v Metz | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Lens v Annecy | 3-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lens v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Lens v Red Star | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Lens v Guingamp | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lens v AS Mona… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lens | 3-0 | Lille |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Lille | 1-0 | Lens |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Lens | 0-2 | Lille |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Lille | 2-1 | Lens |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lens in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.