Ligue 1 · Apr 05, 2026 15:15
Metz
PWR 22
Nantes
PWR 26
Metz
PWR 22
1-1
predicted
Nantes
PWR 26
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Nantes Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
32Attack29
31Defense46
Goals/G
1.11.0
Conc/G
2.31.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Metz
DLLLL
STABLE
Nantes
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Metzvs
1.18
NantesGoal Probability
Metz
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Nantes
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Metz-1
Gap#17
Nantes
WR 15% 14 pts
WR 17% 17 pts
Metz
2.0%
| Mar 22 | Metz v Rennes … | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Metz v Toulouse | 3-4 |
| Mar 08 | Metz v Lens | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Metz v Stade B… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Metz v Paris S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Metz v Lille | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Olympiq… | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
Nantes
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Nantes v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Nantes v Angers | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Nantes v Lille | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Nantes v AS Mona… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Nantes v Olympiq… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nantes v Nice | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Nantes | 0-2 | Metz |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Nantes | 0-2 | Metz |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
Nantes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.