Ligue 1 · Apr 05, 2026 18:45
AS Monaco
PWR 34
Olympique de Marseille
PWR 48
AS Monaco
PWR 34
3-2
predicted
Olympique de Marseille
PWR 48
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AS Monaco Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (3%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
48Attack69
51Defense67
Goals/G
1.62.3
Conc/G
1.71.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
AS Monaco
WWWWD
UP
Olympique de M…
LWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
AS Monacovs
0.51
Olympique de M…Goal Probability
AS Monaco
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Olympique d…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
AS Monaco-3
Gap#3
Olympique d…
WR 64% 46 pts
WR 46% 49 pts
AS Monaco
18.0%
| Mar 22 | AS Mona… v Olympiq… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | AS Mona… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | AS Mona… v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | AS Mona… v Lens | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | AS Mona… v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | AS Mona… v Nice | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | AS Mona… v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
Olympique de M…
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Olympiq… v Lille | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | Olympiq… v Auxerre | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Olympiq… v Toulouse | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Olympiq… v Toulouse | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Olympiq… v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Olympiq… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Olympiq… v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Olympiq… v Paris S… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Olympiq… v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Olympiq… v Paris FC | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Olympique de … | 1-0 | AS Monaco |
| Apr 12, 2025 | AS Monaco | 3-0 | Olympique de … |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Olympique de … | 2-1 | AS Monaco |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Olympique de … | 2-1 | AS Monaco |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Olympique de … | 2-2 | AS Monaco |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Olympique de … | 2-2 | AS Monaco |
| Sep 30, 2023 | AS Monaco | 3-2 | Olympique de … |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Olympique de … | 1-1 | AS Monaco |
| Nov 13, 2022 | AS Monaco | 2-3 | Olympique de … |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Olympique de … | 0-1 | AS Monaco |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Key Factors
AS Monaco in strong form (4W in last 5)
Olympique de Marseille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.