Ligue 1 · Apr 03, 2026 18:45
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Toulouse
PWR 39
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
5-1
predicted
Toulouse
PWR 39
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Home Win
1X2 · PREMIUM tier, 77% conf, draw risk 19%
86%
accuracy
1.5x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Paris Saint Germain Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)2-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
65Attack47
76Defense66
Goals/G
2.21.6
Conc/G
0.81.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Paris Saint Ge…
WWWLW
UP
Toulouse
WWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk19%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Paris Saint Ge…vs
1.33
ToulouseGoal Probability
Paris Saint…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Toulouse
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Paris Saint…+8
Gap#9
Toulouse
WR 83% 60 pts
WR 39% 37 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Paris S… v Nice | 0-4 |
| Mar 17 | Paris S… v Chelsea | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Paris S… v Chelsea | 5-2 |
| Mar 06 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Paris S… v Metz | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Paris S… v Olympiq… | 5-0 |
Toulouse
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Toulouse v Lorient | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Toulouse v Metz | 3-4 |
| Mar 07 | Toulouse v Olympiq… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Toulouse v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Toulouse v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Toulouse v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Toulouse v Amiens | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Toulouse v Auxerre | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Toulouse | 3-6 | Paris Saint G… |
| May 12, 2024 | Paris Saint G… | 1-3 | Toulouse |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.