La Liga · Apr 06, 2026 19:00
Girona
PWR 28
Villarreal
PWR 43
Girona
PWR 28
1-2
predicted
Villarreal
PWR 43
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Villarreal Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (11%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
29Attack56
51Defense67
Goals/G
1.01.9
Conc/G
1.61.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Girona
LWDLD
STABLE
Villarreal
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
Gironavs
0.52
VillarrealGoal Probability
Girona
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Villarreal
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Girona-10
Gap#3
Villarreal
WR 36% 34 pts
WR 43% 58 pts
Girona
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Girona v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Girona v Athleti… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Girona v Levante | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Girona v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Girona v Alavés | 2-2 |
| Feb 16 | Girona v FC Barc… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Girona v Sevilla | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Girona v Oviedo | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Girona v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Girona v Espanyol | 0-2 |
Villarreal
14.0%
| Mar 20 | Villarr… v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Mar 13 | Villarr… v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Villarr… v Elche | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Villarr… v FC Barc… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Villarr… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Villarr… v Levante | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Villarr… v Getafe | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Villarr… v Espanyol | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Villarr… v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Villarr… v Bayer 0… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Villarreal | 5-0 | Girona |
| May 10, 2025 | Girona | 0-1 | Villarreal |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Villarreal | 2-2 | Girona |
| May 14, 2024 | Girona | 0-1 | Villarreal |
| May 14, 2024 | Girona | 0-1 | Villarreal |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Villarreal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.