La Liga · Apr 05, 2026 12:00
Getafe
PWR 30
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Getafe
PWR 30
1-1
predicted
Athletic Club
PWR 30
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (27%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
22Attack29
63Defense58
Goals/G
0.71.0
Conc/G
1.21.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Getafe
WLWWL
STABLE
Athletic Club
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Getafevs
0.31
Athletic ClubGoal Probability
Getafe
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Athletic Cl…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Getafe+1
Gap#9
Athletic Cl…
WR 36% 38 pts
WR 21% 38 pts
Getafe
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Getafe v Espanyol | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Getafe v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Getafe v Real Be… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Getafe v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Getafe v Sevilla | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Getafe v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Getafe v Alavés | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Getafe v Celta d… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Getafe v Girona | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Getafe v Valencia | 0-1 |
Athletic Club
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Athleti… v Girona | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Athleti… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Athleti… v Elche | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Oviedo | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Athleti… v Levante | 4-2 |
| Feb 04 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Athletic Club | 0-1 | Getafe |
| May 15, 2025 | Getafe | 0-2 | Athletic Club |
| May 03, 2024 | Getafe | 0-2 | Athletic Club |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
77%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Getafe in strong form (3W in last 5)
Athletic Club struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.