La Liga · Apr 04, 2026 16:30
Alavés
PWR 32
Osasuna
PWR 35
Alavés
PWR 32
2-1
predicted
Osasuna
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alavés Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
27Attack35
63Defense63
Goals/G
0.91.2
Conc/G
1.21.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Alavés
WDLLD
STABLE
Osasuna
WLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Alavésvs
1.12
OsasunaGoal Probability
Alavés
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Osasuna
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Alavés-6
Gap#10
Osasuna
WR 36% 31 pts
WR 13% 37 pts
Alavés
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Alavés v Celta d… | 3-4 |
| Mar 13 | Alavés v Villarr… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Alavés v Valencia | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Alavés v Levante | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Alavés v Girona | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Alavés v Sevilla | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alavés v Getafe | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Alavés v Real So… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Alavés v Espanyol | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Alavés v Real Be… | 2-1 |
Osasuna
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Osasuna v Girona | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Osasuna v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Osasuna v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Osasuna v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Osasuna v Elche | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Osasuna v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Osasuna v Villarr… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Osasuna v Oviedo | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Osasuna | 3-0 | Alavés |
| May 24, 2025 | Alavés | 1-1 | Osasuna |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Osasuna | 2-2 | Alavés |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Osasuna | 2-2 | Alavés |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Osasuna | 1-2 | Alavés |
| Mar 04, 2024 | Osasuna | 1-0 | Alavés |
| Mar 04, 2024 | Osasuna | 1-0 | Alavés |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Alavés | 0-2 | Osasuna |
| Aug 04, 2023 | Alavés | 2-3 | Osasuna |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Osasuna | 1-0 | Alavés |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.