La Liga · Apr 05, 2026 14:15
Valencia
PWR 29
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Valencia
PWR 29
2-2
predicted
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Valencia Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
31Attack40
52Defense69
Goals/G
1.01.3
Conc/G
1.61.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Valencia
WLWWL
STABLE
Celta de Vigo
LWDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 79% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Valenciavs
1.33
Celta de VigoGoal Probability
Valencia
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Celta de Vi…
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Valencia-6
Gap#6
Celta de Vi…
WR 43% 35 pts
WR 43% 41 pts
Valencia
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Valencia v Sevilla | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | Valencia v Oviedo | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Valencia v Alavés | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Valencia v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Valencia v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Valencia v Levante | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Valencia v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Valencia v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Valencia v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Valencia v Espanyol | 3-2 |
Celta de Vigo
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Celta d… v Alavés | 3-4 |
| Mar 19 | Celta d… v Olympiq… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Celta d… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Celta d… v Olympiq… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Celta d… v Girona | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Celta d… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Celta de Vigo | 4-1 | Valencia |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Valencia | 2-1 | Celta de Vigo |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Celta de Vigo | 3-1 | Valencia |
| May 26, 2024 | Celta de Vigo | 2-2 | Valencia |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Valencia | 1-3 | Celta de Vigo |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Valencia | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| May 14, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 1-2 | Valencia |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Valencia | 3-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| May 21, 2022 | Valencia | 2-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Dec 05, 2021 | Celta de Vigo | 1-2 | Valencia |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Valencia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.