La Liga · Apr 05, 2026 16:30
Oviedo
PWR 25
Sevilla
PWR 31
Oviedo
PWR 25
0-2
predicted
Sevilla
PWR 31
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Oviedo Win
Score
0-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
16Attack40
54Defense50
Goals/G
0.51.3
Conc/G
1.51.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Oviedo
LWDLL
STABLE
Sevilla
LLDDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Oviedovs
0.62
SevillaGoal Probability
Oviedo
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Sevilla
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Oviedo-5
Gap#15
Sevilla
WR 21% 21 pts
WR 29% 31 pts
Oviedo
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Oviedo v Levante | 4-2 |
| Mar 14 | Oviedo v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Oviedo v Espanyol | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Oviedo v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Oviedo v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oviedo v Real So… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Oviedo v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Oviedo v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Oviedo v Osasuna | 3-2 |
Sevilla
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Sevilla v Valencia | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Sevilla v FC Barc… | 5-2 |
| Mar 08 | Sevilla v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Sevilla v Real Be… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sevilla v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sevilla v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sevilla v Girona | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Sevilla v Mallorca | 4-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sevilla v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Sevilla v Elche | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sevilla | 4-0 | Oviedo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Oviedo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.