Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Apr 05, 2026 01:00
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 35
Monarcas
PWR 35
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Monarcas
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Leones Negros …
DWLWD
STABLE
Monarcas
WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Leones Negros …vs
1.10
MonarcasGoal Probability
Leones Negr…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Monarcas
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Leones Negr…+1
Gap#7
Monarcas
WR 39% 21 pts
WR 29% 19 pts
Leones Negros …
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Leones … v Alebrij… | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | Leones … v Tecos | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | Leones … v Mineros… | 1-3 |
| Mar 21 | Leones … v Guerrer… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Leones … v Dorados | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Leones … v Mineros… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Leones … v Cimarro… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Leones … v CA La P… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Atlante… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Ensenada | 1-4 |
Monarcas
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Monarcas v Irapuato | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Monarcas v TapatĂo | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Monarcas v Tepatit… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Monarcas v Atlante… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Monarcas v CA La P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Monarcas v Dorados | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Monarcas v Venados… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Monarcas v Mineros… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Monarcas v CancĂşn | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Monarcas v Alebrij… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Monarcas | 2-3 | Leones Negros… |
| May 11, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 2-0 | Monarcas |
| May 04, 2025 | Monarcas | 2-0 | Leones Negros… |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 2-1 | Monarcas |
| Apr 05, 2024 | Monarcas | 0-2 | Leones Negros… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monarcas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.