Premier League · Apr 05, 2026 12:30
Obolon Kyiv
PWR 35
Zorya Luhansk
PWR 35
Obolon Kyiv
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Zorya Luhansk
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Obolon Kyiv Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Obolon Kyiv
LLDWD
DOWN
Zorya Luhansk
DWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Obolon Kyivvs
1.08
Zorya LuhanskGoal Probability
Obolon Kyiv
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Zorya Luhan…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (10%)1-3 (6%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Obolon Kyiv-2
Gap#8
Zorya Luhan…
WR 20% 24 pts
WR 30% 28 pts
Obolon Kyiv
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Obolon … v Karpaty | 4-0 |
| Mar 13 | Obolon … v Dynamo … | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Obolon … v Hirnyk | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Obolon … v Rukh Vy… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Obolon … v HB Køge | 3-3 |
| Feb 05 | Obolon … v Petrocub | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Obolon … v FC Lief… | 1-1 |
| Dec 12 | Obolon … v Metalis… | 1-3 |
| Dec 06 | Obolon … v LNZ Che… | 3-0 |
| Nov 28 | Obolon … v Kolos K… | 0-0 |
Zorya Luhansk
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Zorya L… v Kolos K… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Zorya L… v SK Polt… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Zorya L… v Hirnyk | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | Zorya L… v Kudrivka | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Zorya L… v Rapid W… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Zorya L… v Lokomot… | 3-3 |
| Dec 13 | Zorya L… v LNZ Che… | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Zorya L… v Karpaty | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Zorya L… v Polessya | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Zorya L… v Oleksan… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk | 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Zorya Luhansk | 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.