Super League · Apr 04, 2026 12:00
Mombasa Elite
PWR 35
Vihiga United
PWR 35
Mombasa Elite
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Vihiga United
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mombasa Elite Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (22%)3-0 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mombasa Elite
DDWWW
STABLE
Vihiga United
DDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Mombasa Elitevs
0.20
Vihiga UnitedGoal Probability
Mombasa Eli…
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Vihiga Unit…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (19%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Mombasa Eli…+18
Gap#19
Vihiga Unit…
WR 100% 55 pts
WR 23% 19 pts
Mombasa Elite
16.0%
| Mar 29 | Mombasa… v MCF | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Mombasa… v Fortune… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Mombasa… v Kabati … | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mombasa… v Equity … | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | Mombasa… v MOFA | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Mombasa… v Darajan… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Mombasa… v Kisumu … | 4-0 |
| Feb 01 | Mombasa… v Kabati … | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mombasa… v Vihiga … | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Mombasa… v Kibera … | 2-0 |
Vihiga United
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Vihiga … v Kabati … | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Vihiga … v MOFA | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Vihiga … v Kibera … | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Vihiga … v Migori … | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vihiga … v Fortune… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Vihiga … v Nzoia S… | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | Vihiga … v Talanta | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Vihiga … v Kibera … | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Vihiga … v Mombasa… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Vihiga … v MCF | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Vihiga United | 1-3 | Mombasa Elite |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Mombasa Elite | 1-1 | Vihiga United |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Vihiga United | 0-1 | Mombasa Elite |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Vihiga United | 0-1 | Mombasa Elite |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Mombasa Elite | 2-0 | Vihiga United |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Mombasa Elite | 2-0 | Vihiga United |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Vihiga United | 1-0 | Mombasa Elite |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mombasa Elite in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.