Super League · Apr 04, 2026 12:00
Mathare United
PWR 44
Mathare United
PWR 44
1-1
predicted
Soy United
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
40Attack0
58Defense100
Goals/G
1.10.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mathare United
WDDLW
STABLE
Soy United
WDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Mathare Unitedvs
0.52
Soy UnitedGoal Probability
Mathare Uni…
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Soy United
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Mathare Uni…+9
Gap#17
Soy United
WR 33% 70 pts
WR 39% 37 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | 54 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 61 | 65 | 70 |
| Soy United | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 18 | 37 |
Mathare United
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Mathare… v Migori … | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Mathare… v Murang'… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Mathare… v Nzoia S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Mathare… v Kisumu … | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Mathare… v AFC Leo… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Mathare… v Nairobi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Mathare… v Gor Mah… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Mathare… v Gucha S… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | Mathare… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Mathare… v Kabati … | 2-0 |
Soy United
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Soy Uni… v Darajan… | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Soy Uni… v Gucha S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Soy Uni… v Migori … | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Soy Uni… v Talanta | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Soy Uni… v 3K | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Soy Uni… v Naivas | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Soy Uni… v Kibera … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Soy Uni… v Migori … | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Soy Uni… v Gucha S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Soy Uni… v Mathare… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Soy United | 1-0 | Mathare United |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.