Premier League · Apr 03, 2026 12:30
Shabab Al Sahel
PWR 35
Shabab Al Sahel
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Reyadi Abaseya
PWR 35
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shabab Al Sahel
LLDWL
DOWN
Reyadi Abaseya
LWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Shabab Al Sahelvs
0.39
Reyadi AbaseyaGoal Probability
Shabab Al S…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Reyadi Abas…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Shabab Al S…+3
Gap#9
Reyadi Abas…
WR 38% 20 pts
WR 40% 17 pts
Shabab Al Sahel
6.0%
| Feb 22 | Shabab … v Al Ansar | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Shabab … v Al Hikma | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Shabab … v Al Nejm… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Shabab … v Tadamon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Shabab … v Al Maba… | 1-0 |
| Dec 30 | Shabab … v Safa | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | Shabab … v Jwaaya … | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | Shabab … v Al Ahed | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | Shabab … v Reyadi … | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Shabab … v Bourj | 1-0 |
Reyadi Abaseya
10.0%
| Feb 21 | Reyadi … v Al Nejm… | 4-0 |
| Feb 17 | Reyadi … v Al Ansar | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Reyadi … v Tadamon… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Reyadi … v Al Maba… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Reyadi … v Jwaaya … | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Reyadi … v Al Ahed | 0-1 |
| Dec 28 | Reyadi … v Racing | 1-3 |
| Dec 19 | Reyadi … v Bourj | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Reyadi … v Shabab … | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Reyadi … v Safa | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Reyadi Abaseya | 0-0 | Shabab Al Sah… |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Shabab Al Sah… | 0-2 | Reyadi Abaseya |
| May 25, 2025 | Shabab Al Sah… | 1-1 | Reyadi Abaseya |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Reyadi Abaseya | 5-1 | Shabab Al Sah… |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Reyadi Abaseya | 2-2 | Shabab Al Sah… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Shabab Al Sahel struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.