Premier League · Apr 04, 2026 12:30
Al Ahed
PWR 35
Safa
PWR 35
Al Ahed
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Safa
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Ahed
DLDWW
STABLE
Safa
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Al Ahedvs
0.39
SafaGoal Probability
Al Ahed
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Safa
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Al Ahed+1
Gap#5
Safa
WR 43% 31 pts
WR 33% 26 pts
Al Ahed
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Al Ahed v Tadamon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Al Ahed v Al Maba… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Al Ahed v Al Hikma | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Al Ahed v Jwaaya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Al Ahed v Racing | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Al Ahed v Reyadi … | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Al Ahed v Tadamon… | 3-1 |
| Dec 25 | Al Ahed v Bourj | 1-4 |
| Dec 20 | Al Ahed v Shabab … | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | Al Ahed v Safa | 0-1 |
Safa
16.0%
| Feb 20 | Safa v Racing | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Safa v Al Ansar | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Safa v Al Hikma | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Safa v Al Nejm… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Safa v Tadamon… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Safa v Jwaaya … | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | Safa v Shabab … | 1-0 |
| Dec 25 | Safa v Al Maba… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | Safa v Jwaaya … | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Safa v Al Ahed | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Safa | 0-1 | Al Ahed |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Al Ahed | 1-1 | Safa |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Al Ahed | 1-2 | Safa |
| May 01, 2025 | Safa | 0-0 | Al Ahed |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Al Ahed | 0-0 | Safa |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Al Ahed | 2-1 | Safa |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Safa | 1-3 | Al Ahed |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Al Ahed | 1-1 | Safa |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Safa | 0-0 | Al Ahed |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Safa | 1-3 | Al Ahed |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Safa in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.