Virsliga · Apr 03, 2026 11:00
Super Nova
PWR 35
Ogre United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Super Nova
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ogre United Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.74x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.56x
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ogre United
LDLLL
STABLE
Super Nova
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Ogre Unitedvs
0.56
Super NovaGoal Probability
Ogre United
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Super Nova
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Ogre United-2
Gap#7
Super Nova
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Ogre United
2.0%
| Mar 20 | Ogre Un… v FK Liep… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Ogre Un… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas FS | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ogre Un… v FK Zalg… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ogre Un… v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Ogre Un… v Mārupe | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Ogre Un… v Skanste | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Ogre Un… v Riga FC… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ogre Un… v JDFS Al… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas F… | 0-0 |
Super Nova
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Super N… v Tukums | 1-2 |
| Mar 20 | Super N… v JDFS Al… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Super N… v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Super N… v Auda | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Super N… v Paide | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Super N… v Kalju N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Super N… v Trans N… | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Super N… v FK Liep… | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | Super N… v Rīgas FS | 1-3 |
| Oct 25 | Super N… v BFC Dau… | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
46%
Market
38%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ogre United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.