Virsliga · Apr 03, 2026 13:00
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 35
FK Liepaja
PWR 35
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 35
VS
FK Liepaja
PWR 35
25%
29%
46%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FK Liepaja Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (24%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.67x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.74x
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
55%
55%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
BFC Daugavpils
LLLLL
DOWN
FK Liepaja
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
BFC Daugavpilsvs
0.72
FK LiepajaGoal Probability
BFC Daugavp…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
FK Liepaja
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)0-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
BFC Daugavp…-5
Gap#5
FK Liepaja
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
BFC Daugavpils
0.0%
| Mar 21 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | BFC Dau… v Riga FC | 4-2 |
| Mar 07 | BFC Dau… v Grobiņa | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | BFC Dau… v Sūduva … | 5-3 |
| Feb 07 | BFC Dau… v Šiauliai | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | BFC Dau… v Hegelma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | BFC Dau… v FC Tall… | 4-0 |
| Nov 09 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | BFC Dau… v FK Liep… | 1-2 |
FK Liepaja
14.0%
| Mar 20 | FK Liep… v Ogre Un… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | FK Liep… v Rīgas FS | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | FK Liep… v Riga FC | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | FK Liep… v FS Jelg… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | FK Liep… v Hirnyk | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | FK Liep… v Kalju N… | 3-5 |
| Nov 09 | FK Liep… v Super N… | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | FK Liep… v BFC Dau… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | FK Liep… v FS Jelg… | 2-2 |
| Oct 20 | FK Liep… v Auda | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 02, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils | 1-2 | FK Liepaja |
| Aug 09, 2025 | FK Liepaja | 2-1 | BFC Daugavpils |
| Jun 13, 2025 | FK Liepaja | 1-1 | BFC Daugavpils |
| Apr 19, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils | 4-2 | FK Liepaja |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Liepaja in strong form (3W in last 5)
BFC Daugavpils struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.