Virsliga · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
Riga FC
PWR 35
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Riga FC
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Riga FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FS Jelgava
LDWLW
STABLE
Riga FC
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
FS Jelgavavs
0.93
Riga FCGoal Probability
FS Jelgava
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Riga FC
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
FS Jelgava+1
Gap#4
Riga FC
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
FS Jelgava
10.0%
| Mar 21 | FS Jelg… v Grobiņa | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FS Jelg… v Nõmme U… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | FS Jelg… v Metta /… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | FS Jelg… v BFC Dau… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-1 |
Riga FC
16.0%
| Mar 20 | Riga FC v Auda | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Riga FC v BFC Dau… | 4-2 |
| Mar 07 | Riga FC v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Riga FC v FC Tall… | 0-3 |
| Feb 17 | Riga FC v Auda | 4-1 |
| Feb 05 | Riga FC v Shakhta… | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | Riga FC v Pyunik … | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Riga FC v Žilina | 3-2 |
| Nov 07 | Riga FC v RÄ«gas FS | 3-4 |
| Nov 02 | Riga FC v Grobiņa | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 21, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 2-3 | Riga FC |
| Jul 01, 2025 | Riga FC | 3-0 | FS Jelgava |
| May 10, 2025 | Riga FC | 2-0 | FS Jelgava |
| Mar 15, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 1-1 | Riga FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
82%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Riga FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.