Erovnuli Liga · Apr 03, 2026 15:00
Saburtalo
PWR 35
Samgurali
PWR 35
Saburtalo
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Samgurali
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Saburtalo
DLWWD
STABLE
Samgurali
LDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): I liga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Saburtalovs
0.52
SamguraliGoal Probability
Saburtalo
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Samgurali
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Saburtalo-3
Gap#3
Samgurali
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 50% 5 pts
Saburtalo
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 0-0 |
| Mar 11 | Saburta… v Torpedo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Saburta… v Dila | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Saburta… v Petrocub | 1-2 |
| Feb 02 | Saburta… v Veres R… | 0-0 |
| Dec 10 | Saburta… v Dila | 1-3 |
| Dec 06 | Saburta… v Gagra | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Saburta… v Gareji | 0-4 |
| Nov 26 | Saburta… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| Nov 21 | Saburta… v Kolkhet… | 0-1 |
Samgurali
10.0%
| Mar 16 | Samgura… v Spaeri | 4-1 |
| Mar 12 | Samgura… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Samgura… v Meshakh… | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Samgura… v Gagra | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Samgura… v Ulytau | 2-2 |
| Feb 16 | Samgura… v Petrocub | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Samgura… v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| Jan 29 | Samgura… v Kolkhet… | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | Samgura… v Telavi | 3-0 |
| Nov 30 | Samgura… v Dinamo … | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Saburtalo | 2-0 | Samgurali |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Samgurali | 0-1 | Saburtalo |
| May 11, 2025 | Saburtalo | 2-1 | Samgurali |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Samgurali | 0-0 | Saburtalo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.