HNL · Apr 04, 2026 15:00
HNK Rijeka
PWR 35
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
HNK Rijeka
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
HNK Rijeka Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
HNK Rijeka
DWDLD
STABLE
NK Varaždin
DDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
HNK Rijekavs
0.69
NK VaraždinGoal Probability
HNK Rijeka
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
NK Varaždin
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
HNK Rijeka+1
Gap#4
NK Varaždin
WR 50% 38 pts
WR 31% 37 pts
HNK Rijeka
10.0%
| Mar 22 | HNK Rijā¦ v NK Slavā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | HNK Rijā¦ v HNK Rijā¦ | 4-0 |
| Mar 19 | HNK Rijā¦ v Strasboā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | HNK Rijā¦ v Istra 1ā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | HNK Rijā¦ v HNK Rijā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | HNK Rijā¦ v Strasboā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | HNK Rijā¦ v Vukovar | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | HNK Rijā¦ v NK Slavā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | HNK Rijā¦ v Istra 1ā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | HNK Rijā¦ v HNK Hajā¦ | 3-2 |
NK Varaždin
10.0%
| Mar 28 | NK Varaā¦ v Trnje | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | NK Varaā¦ v Dugo Seā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 20 | NK Varaā¦ v Istra 1ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | NK Varaā¦ v GrobniÄā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | NK Varaā¦ v Vukovar | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | NK Varaā¦ v Bjelovar | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | NK Varaā¦ v NK Lokoā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | NK Varaā¦ v Kustosiā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | NK Varaā¦ v HNK Hajā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | NK Varaā¦ v Uskok Kā¦ | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 14, 2026 | HNK Rijeka | 3-1 | NK Varaždin |
| Feb 08, 2026 | NK Varaždin | 2-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| Jan 26, 2026 | NK Varaždin | 1-2 | HNK Rijeka |
| Nov 09, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 1-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| Nov 02, 2025 | HNK Rijeka | 0-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Oct 19, 2025 | HNK Rijeka | 1-3 | NK Varaždin |
| Aug 24, 2025 | HNK Rijeka | 1-2 | NK Varaždin |
| Aug 17, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 0-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| Aug 04, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 1-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| May 17, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 2-1 | HNK Rijeka |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.