2. Bundesliga · Apr 05, 2026 11:30
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Preussen Munster
PWR 46
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
1-0
predicted
Preussen Munster
PWR 46
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Holstein Kiel to win (75% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
75%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
45Attack60
85Defense70
Goals/G
1.52.0
Conc/G
0.51.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Holstein Kiel
WLLDL
STABLE
Preussen Munst…
LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Holstein Kielvs
0.94
Preussen Munst…Goal Probability
Holstein Ki…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Preussen Mu…
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Holstein Ki…-1
Gap#16
Preussen Mu…
WR 31% 25 pts
WR 25% 26 pts
Holstein Kiel
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Holstei… v VfL Boc… | 2-3 |
| Mar 14 | Holstei… v FC Nurn… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Holstei… v SV Darm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Holstei… v SV Elve… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Holstei… v Karlsru… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Holstei… v FC Scha… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Holstei… v Hannove… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Holstei… v VfB Stu… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Holstei… v SpVgg G… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Holstei… v Arminia… | 2-2 |
Preussen Munst…
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Preusse… v FC Augs… | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Preusse… v Dynamo … | 6-0 |
| Mar 08 | Preusse… v Hertha … | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Preusse… v Eintrac… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Preusse… v FC Kais… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Preusse… v Fortuna… | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Preusse… v VfL Boc… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Preusse… v FC Nurn… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Preusse… v SC Pade… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Preusse… v Karlsru… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 31, 2025 | Preussen Muns… | 2-1 | Holstein Kiel |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel struggling (3L in last 5)
Preussen Munster struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.