Back Stats
2. Bundesliga · Apr 05, 2026 11:30

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth
PWR 51
2-2
predicted

SC Paderborn 07
PWR 46
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
SC Paderborn 07 Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
75Attack90
70Defense40
Goals/G
2.53.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
SpVgg Greuther… LWWDW
STABLE
SC Paderborn 07 WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
SpVgg Greuther…
vs
0.74
SC Paderborn 07
Goal Probability
SpVgg Greut…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
SC Paderbor…
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 86% 14% OVER
2.5 67% 33% OVER
3.5 45% 55% -
4.5 26% 74% UNDER
5.5 14% 87% UNDER
6.5 6% 94% UNDER
League Position
#13
SpVgg Greut…
-9
Gap
#4
SC Paderbor…
WR 31% 29 pts WR 46% 48 pts
SpVgg Greuther… 14.0%
Mar 20 SpVgg G… v Karlsru… 3-1
Mar 13 SpVgg G… v SV Elve… 2-0
Mar 08 SpVgg G… v Hannove… 1-2
Feb 28 SpVgg G… v FC Scha… 1-1
Feb 20 SpVgg G… v Arminia… 2-1
Feb 14 SpVgg G… v FC Kais… 1-0
Feb 06 SpVgg G… v FC Augs… 4-5
Jan 31 SpVgg G… v Holstei… 1-2
Jan 24 SpVgg G… v Eintrac… 0-0
Jan 17 SpVgg G… v Dynamo … 2-0
SC Paderborn 07 16.0%
Mar 21 SC Pade… v Dynamo … 2-1
Mar 14 SC Pade… v Arminia… 2-2
Mar 07 SC Pade… v Eintrac… 1-1
Feb 28 SC Pade… v FC Kais… 1-2
Feb 22 SC Pade… v Hertha … 5-2
Feb 15 SC Pade… v VfL Boc… 0-0
Feb 07 SC Pade… v FC Nurn… 2-1
Feb 01 SC Pade… v Fortuna… 2-1
Jan 25 SC Pade… v Preusse… 2-1
Jan 18 SC Pade… v Holstei… 2-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 02, 2025 SC Paderborn … 2-1 SpVgg Greuthe…
Feb 02, 2025 SC Paderborn … 1-2 SpVgg Greuthe…
Aug 24, 2024 SpVgg Greuthe… 1-1 SC Paderborn …
Jan 21, 2024 SC Paderborn … 0-1 SpVgg Greuthe…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Paderborn 07 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.