Liga Portugal 2 · Apr 04, 2026 10:00
Sporting CP
PWR 55
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 55
2-2
predicted
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Penafiel FC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (44%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
51Attack0
66Defense100
Goals/G
1.40.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting CP
WWWLL
UP
Penafiel FC
LLDDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Sporting CPvs
0.22
Penafiel FCGoal Probability
Sporting CP
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Penafiel FC
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Sporting CP-9
Gap#6
Penafiel FC
WR 48% 41 pts
WR 28% 110 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 26 | 41 |
| Penafiel FC | 101 | 28 | 26 | 47 | 104 | 131 | 110 |
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Sportin… v Alverca | 0-2 |
| Mar 17 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Sportin… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sportin… v SC Braga | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Sportin… v Carabob… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
Penafiel FC
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Penafie… v Vizela | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Penafie… v Farense | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Penafie… v Benfica | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Penafie… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Penafie… v Lusitân… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Penafie… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Penafie… v Leixões… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Penafie… v Portimo… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Penafiel FC | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.