Liga Portugal 2 · Apr 05, 2026 14:30
União de Leiria
PWR 35
União de Leiria
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
Lusitânia Lourosa
PWR 35
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
União de Leiria Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-0 (4%)2-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
73%
73%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
União de Leiria
WWLWW
STABLE
Lusitânia Lour…
LLWLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.7%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
União de Leiriavs
1.35
Lusitânia Lour…Goal Probability
União de Le…
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Lusitânia L…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)4-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)5-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 5.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
União de Le…+5
Gap#9
Lusitânia L…
WR 46% 44 pts
WR 46% 37 pts
União de Leiria
16.0%
| Mar 29 | União d… v Pacos F… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | União d… v Chaves | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | União d… v Marítimo | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | União d… v Leixões… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | União d… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | União d… v Moreire… | 2-4 |
| Feb 15 | União d… v FC Porto | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | União d… v Moreire… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | União d… v Sportin… | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | União d… v Vizela | 2-2 |
Lusitânia Lour…
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Lusitân… v Académi… | 0-3 |
| Mar 15 | Lusitân… v Vizela | 4-3 |
| Mar 08 | Lusitân… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Lusitân… v Farense | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lusitân… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Lusitân… v Penafie… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lusitân… v Felguei… | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Lusitân… v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Lusitân… v Chaves | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Lusitân… v Marítimo | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Lusitânia Lou… | 1-1 | União de Leir… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
Key Factors
União de Leiria in strong form (4W in last 5)
Lusitânia Lourosa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.