Liga Portugal 2 · Apr 03, 2026 14:30
Moreirense
PWR 45
Portimonense
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
1-0
predicted
Portimonense
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Moreirense to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.57x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.73x
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
43Attack0
54Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreirense
WLLLW
STABLE
Portimonense
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk19%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probability
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Moreirensevs
1.04
PortimonenseGoal Probability
Moreirense
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Portimonense
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Moreirense+13
Gap#14
Portimonense
WR 37% 387 pts
WR 21% 45 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 284 | 105 | 72 | 107 | 349 | 370 | 387 |
| Portimonense | 52 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 51 | 83 | 45 |
Moreirense
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-3 |
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Marítimo | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
Portimonense
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Portimo… v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Portimo… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Portimo… v Pacos F… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Portimo… v União d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Portimo… v Académi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Portimo… v Sportin… | 4-3 |
| Feb 09 | Portimo… v Benfica | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Portimo… v Vizela | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Portimo… v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Portimo… v Penafie… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 16, 2026 | Moreirense | 1-0 | Portimonense |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Portimonense | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Portimonense | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Portimonense | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Moreirense | 4-1 | Portimonense |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Portimonense | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Portimonense | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Portimonense |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Moreirense | 3-2 | Portimonense |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Portimonense | 0-2 | Moreirense |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5)
Portimonense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.