Liga Portugal 2 · Apr 04, 2026 10:00
Farense
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
Farense
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Moreirense
PWR 45
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack43
100Defense54
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Farense
LDDWL
STABLE
Moreirense
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Farensevs
0.52
MoreirenseGoal Probability
Farense
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Moreirense
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Farense-12
Gap#1
Moreirense
WR 34% 61 pts
WR 37% 387 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 47 | 16 | 13 | 18 | 54 | 59 | 61 |
| Moreirense | 284 | 105 | 72 | 107 | 349 | 370 | 387 |
Farense
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Farense v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Farense v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Farense v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Farense v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Farense v Chaves | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Farense v Leixões… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Farense v Marítimo | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Farense v FC Porto | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Farense v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Farense v Moreire… | 0-0 |
Moreirense
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-3 |
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Marítimo | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Moreirense | 2-1 | Farense |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Farense | 0-0 | Moreirense |
| Nov 07, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-0 | Farense |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Farense | 0-3 | Moreirense |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Farense |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-0 | Farense |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Farense | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Farense | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Farense | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Farense | 0-1 | Moreirense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.