Liga Portugal 2 · Apr 06, 2026 17:00
FC Porto
PWR 46
Chaves
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 46
2-1
predicted
Chaves
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Porto Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (22%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
45Attack0
53Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Porto
WLWDW
STABLE
Chaves
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (20.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
FC Portovs
0.20
ChavesGoal Probability
FC Porto
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Chaves
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
FC Porto+8
Gap#10
Chaves
WR 37% 147 pts
WR 43% 100 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 110 | 41 | 24 | 45 | 142 | 148 | 147 |
| Chaves | 67 | 29 | 13 | 25 | 86 | 70 | 100 |
FC Porto
14.0%
| Mar 22 | FC Porto v SC Braga | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | FC Porto v Portimo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | FC Porto v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | FC Porto v VfB Stu… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v Marítimo | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-3 |
Chaves
12.0%
| Mar 20 | Chaves v União d… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Chaves v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Chaves v Académi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chaves v Vizela | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Chaves v Farense | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chaves v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Chaves v Penafie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Chaves v Felguei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Chaves v Lusitân… | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | Chaves v Benfica | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Chaves | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Apr 19, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-2 | Chaves |
| May 04, 2024 | Chaves | 0-3 | FC Porto |
| May 04, 2024 | Chaves | 0-3 | FC Porto |
| Dec 29, 2023 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Chaves |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
Chaves in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.