Liga Portugal 2 · Apr 06, 2026 17:00
Moreirense
PWR 45
Leixões SC
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
2-1
predicted
Leixões SC
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Moreirense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (26%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
43Attack0
54Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreirense
WLLLW
STABLE
Leixões SC
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (21.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Moreirensevs
0.87
Leixões SCGoal Probability
Moreirense
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Leixões SC
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Moreirense+8
Gap#9
Leixões SC
WR 37% 387 pts
WR 28% 103 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 284 | 105 | 72 | 107 | 349 | 370 | 387 |
| Leixões SC | 89 | 25 | 28 | 36 | 91 | 123 | 103 |
Moreirense
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-3 |
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v MarĂtimo | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
Leixões SC
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Leixões… v Pacos F… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Leixões… v Académi… | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Leixões… v União d… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Leixões… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Leixões… v Vizela | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Leixões… v Farense | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Leixões… v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Leixões… v Penafie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Leixões… v Benfica | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Leixões… v Felguei… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 07, 2026 | Leixões SC | 2-1 | Moreirense |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Moreirense | 2-0 | Leixões SC |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Leixões SC | 1-0 | Moreirense |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Moreirense | 2-0 | Leixões SC |
| May 14, 2025 | Leixões SC | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| May 11, 2025 | Moreirense | 3-2 | Leixões SC |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Leixões SC | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-0 | Leixões SC |
| May 19, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-3 | Leixões SC |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Leixões SC |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5)
Leixões SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.