2nd Division - Group 1 · Apr 02, 2026 12:00
Roskilde
PWR 35
Naestved
PWR 35
Roskilde
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
Naestved
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Roskilde Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.04x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Roskilde
LLWWW
DOWN
Naestved
DDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Roskildevs
1.17
NaestvedGoal Probability
Roskilde
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Naestved
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Roskilde-2
Gap#2
Naestved
WR 70% 35 pts
WR 70% 38 pts
Roskilde
12.0%
| Mar 27 | Roskilde v AB Købe… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Roskilde v FC Hels… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Roskilde v HIK | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Roskilde v Ishøj | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Roskilde v Frem | 1-4 |
| Nov 15 | Roskilde v Brabrand | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | Roskilde v Skive | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Roskilde v Thisted | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Roskilde v VSK Aar… | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Roskilde v Fremad … | 2-0 |
Naestved
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Naestved v Brabrand | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Naestved v Skive | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Naestved v Vendsys… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Naestved v Fremad … | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Naestved v Ishøj | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Naestved v FC Hels… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Naestved v Hillerød | 2-5 |
| Feb 04 | Naestved v B 93 | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Naestved v Vanløse | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Naestved v Nykøbin… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 01, 2025 | Naestved | 1-0 | Roskilde |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Naestved | 1-2 | Roskilde |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Naestved | 1-2 | Roskilde |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Naestved | 3-1 | Roskilde |
| Jul 16, 2020 | Naestved | 0-2 | Roskilde |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
46%
Market
54%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Roskilde in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.