Ligue 2 · Apr 04, 2026 12:00
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
Estac Troyes
PWR 42
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
2-2
predicted
Estac Troyes
PWR 42
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Montpellier HSC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
34Attack47
70Defense71
Goals/G
1.11.6
Conc/G
1.01.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Montpellier HSC
DWWDL
STABLE
Estac Troyes
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Montpellier HSCvs
0.37
Estac TroyesGoal Probability
Montpellier…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Estac Troyes
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Montpellier…-6
Gap#1
Estac Troyes
WR 50% 42 pts
WR 39% 57 pts
Montpellier HSC
12.0%
| Mar 20 | Montpel… v Pau FC | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Montpel… v Laval | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Montpel… v Annecy | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | Montpel… v Reims | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Montpel… v Rodez | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Montpel… v Lens | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Montpel… v St Etie… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Montpel… v Nice | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Montpel… v Guingamp | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Montpel… v Bastia | 0-2 |
Estac Troyes
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Estac T… v Dunkerq… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Estac T… v Annecy | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Estac T… v Clermont | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Estac T… v Amiens | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Estac T… v Pau FC | 4-3 |
| Feb 16 | Estac T… v Bastia | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Estac T… v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Estac T… v Lens | 2-4 |
| Jan 31 | Estac T… v Lens | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Estac T… v Guingamp | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 23, 2025 | Estac Troyes | 1-0 | Montpellier H… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Estac Troyes in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.