Eredivisie · Apr 04, 2026 14:30
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 35
Utrecht
PWR 35
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 35
6-1
predicted
Utrecht
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PSV Eindhoven Win
Score
6-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (29%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
PSV Eindhoven
WLLLW
STABLE
Utrecht
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
PSV Eindhovenvs
0.25
UtrechtGoal Probability
PSV Eindhov…
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Utrecht
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
PSV Eindhov…+7
Gap#8
Utrecht
WR 71% 68 pts
WR 29% 38 pts
PSV Eindhoven
8.0%
| Mar 28 | PSV Ein… v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | PSV Ein… v Telstar | 3-1 |
| Mar 20 | PSV Ein… v FC OSS | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | PSV Ein… v NEC Nij… | 2-3 |
| Mar 13 | PSV Ein… v Jong PSV | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | PSV Ein… v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | PSV Ein… v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | PSV Ein… v NEC Nij… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | PSV Ein… v Heracles | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | PSV Ein… v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
Utrecht
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Utrecht v GO Ahea… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Utrecht v Dordrec… | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Utrecht v ADO Den… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Utrecht v FC Twen… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Utrecht v Helmond… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Utrecht v Cambuur | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Utrecht v Heracles | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Utrecht v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Utrecht v AZ Alkm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Utrecht v Almere … | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 21, 2025 | Utrecht | 1-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Aug 08, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 1-0 | Utrecht |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-2 | Utrecht |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Utrecht | 2-5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Utrecht | 2-5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Utrecht | 1-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Utrecht | 1-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Aug 12, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | Utrecht |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Utrecht | 2-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Oct 16, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 6-1 | Utrecht |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Utrecht in strong form (4W in last 5)
PSV Eindhoven struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.