Eredivisie · Apr 04, 2026 19:00
Excelsior
PWR 35
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
Excelsior
PWR 35
1-3
predicted
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
25%
29%
46%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
NEC Nijmegen Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Excelsior
LLLLL
DOWN
NEC Nijmegen
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Excelsiorvs
1.48
NEC NijmegenGoal Probability
Excelsior
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
NEC Nijmegen
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (8%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Excelsior-12
Gap#3
NEC Nijmegen
WR 29% 26 pts
WR 43% 49 pts
Excelsior
0.0%
| Mar 20 | Excelsi… v Heracles | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Excelsi… v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Excelsi… v Heerenv… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Excelsi… v GO Ahea… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Excelsi… v Fortuna… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Excelsi… v NAC Bre… | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Excelsi… v FC Twen… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 1-1 |
NEC Nijmegen
14.0%
| Mar 22 | NEC Nij… v Heerenv… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | NEC Nij… v PSV Ein… | 2-3 |
| Mar 08 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | NEC Nij… v PSV Ein… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | NEC Nij… v Fortuna… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | NEC Nij… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | NEC Nij… v Sparta … | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | NEC Nij… v Utrecht | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 4-1 |
| Feb 04 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 09, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 5-0 | Excelsior |
| May 06, 2024 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NEC Nijmegen |
| May 06, 2024 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NEC Nijmegen |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
NEC Nijmegen in strong form (3W in last 5)
Excelsior struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.