Challenge League · Apr 03, 2026 18:15
Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
Stade Nyonnais
PWR 35
Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Stade Nyonnais
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Étoile Carouge Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Étoile Carouge
WWLWD
STABLE
Stade Nyonnais
WDDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Étoile Carougevs
0.34
Stade NyonnaisGoal Probability
Étoile Caro…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Stade Nyonn…
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Étoile Caro…+1
Gap#9
Stade Nyonn…
WR 23% 25 pts
WR 8% 24 pts
Étoile Carouge
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Étoile … v FC WIL … | 1-3 |
| Mar 13 | Étoile … v Bellinz… | 0-3 |
| Mar 06 | Étoile … v FC Aarau | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Étoile … v Stade L… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Étoile … v Yverdon… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Étoile … v Neuchât… | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Étoile … v FC Vaduz | 3-3 |
| Jan 30 | Étoile … v Rappers… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Étoile … v Stade N… | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Étoile … v Chênois | 3-1 |
Stade Nyonnais
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Stade N… v Rappers… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Stade N… v Stade L… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Stade N… v Neuchât… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Stade N… v FC Vaduz | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Stade N… v FC Aarau | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Stade N… v Yverdon… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Stade N… v Bellinz… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Stade N… v FC WIL … | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Stade N… v Étoile … | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | Stade N… v Sion II | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 23, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais | 2-2 | Étoile Carouge |
| Nov 07, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais | 0-0 | Étoile Carouge |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Étoile Carouge | 1-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Étoile Carouge | 2-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Mar 07, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais | 0-3 | Étoile Carouge |
| Oct 04, 2024 | Étoile Carouge | 3-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Stade Nyonnais | 2-4 | Étoile Carouge |
| May 13, 2023 | Étoile Carouge | 1-0 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Nov 05, 2022 | Stade Nyonnais | 2-0 | Étoile Carouge |
| May 13, 2022 | Étoile Carouge | 1-0 | Stade Nyonnais |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Étoile Carouge in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.