Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 18:45
Inter Milan
PWR 50
Roma
PWR 41
Inter Milan
PWR 50
5-1
predicted
Roma
PWR 41
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Inter Milan Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
68Attack35
75Defense82
Goals/G
2.31.2
Conc/G
0.80.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Inter Milan
WDDLW
STABLE
Roma
WLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.9%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Inter Milanvs
0.67
RomaGoal Probability
Inter Milan
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Roma
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Inter Milan+5
Gap#6
Roma
WR 73% 68 pts
WR 47% 51 pts
Inter Milan
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Inter M… v Fiorent… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Inter M… v Charlot… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Inter M… v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Inter M… v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Inter M… v DC Unit… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Inter M… v Como | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Inter M… v Orlando… | 2-4 |
| Feb 28 | Inter M… v Genoa | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Inter M… v Bodø/Gl… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Inter M… v Los Ang… | 3-0 |
Roma
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Roma v Lecce | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Roma v Bologna | 3-4 |
| Mar 15 | Roma v Como | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Roma v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Roma v Genoa | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Roma v Juventus | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Roma v Cremone… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Roma v Napoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Roma v Udinese | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Roma | 0-1 | Inter Milan |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Inter Milan | 0-1 | Roma |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Roma | 0-1 | Inter Milan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Roma | 2-4 | Inter Milan |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Roma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.